Do pump prices really follow Edgeworth cycles? Evidence from the German retail fuel market

Most of the literature on retail fuel markets find high-frequency and asymmetric price cycles. This is typically explained by the model of Edgeworth price cycles. A key element of this model is that prices fall to marginal costs during a cycle. It seems challenging to address this assumption empiric...

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Publié dans:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 13-2019)
Auteur principal: de Haas, Samuel
Format: Article
Langue:anglais
Publié: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2019
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Résumé:Most of the literature on retail fuel markets find high-frequency and asymmetric price cycles. This is typically explained by the model of Edgeworth price cycles. A key element of this model is that prices fall to marginal costs during a cycle. It seems challenging to address this assumption empirically. However, I use a natural experiment in the German fuel market to analyze the effects of an external cost shock. I find strong evidence that prices do not fall to marginal costs. This is not in line with Edgeworth cycles and thus, should be taken into account when analyzing fuel markets.
Description matérielle:13 Seiten
ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2024.0608