Do pump prices really follow Edgeworth cycles? Evidence from the German retail fuel market

Most of the literature on retail fuel markets find high-frequency and asymmetric price cycles. This is typically explained by the model of Edgeworth price cycles. A key element of this model is that prices fall to marginal costs during a cycle. It seems challenging to address this assumption empiric...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 13-2019)
Main Author: de Haas, Samuel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2019
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Online Access:PDF Full Text
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Summary:Most of the literature on retail fuel markets find high-frequency and asymmetric price cycles. This is typically explained by the model of Edgeworth price cycles. A key element of this model is that prices fall to marginal costs during a cycle. It seems challenging to address this assumption empirically. However, I use a natural experiment in the German fuel market to analyze the effects of an external cost shock. I find strong evidence that prices do not fall to marginal costs. This is not in line with Edgeworth cycles and thus, should be taken into account when analyzing fuel markets.
Physical Description:13 Pages
ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2024.0608