Domestic or U.S. News: What Drives Canadian Financial Markets?

Using a GARCH model, we study the effects of Canadian and U.S. central bank communication and macroeconomic news on Canadian bond, stock, and foreign exchange market returns and volatility. First, central bank communication and macro news from both countries have an impact on Canadian financial m...

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Xuất bản năm:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 08-2009)
Tác giả chính: Hayo, Bernd
Tác giả khác: Neuenkirch, Matthias
Định dạng: Arbeit
Ngôn ngữ:Tiếng Anh
Được phát hành: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2009
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Tóm tắt:Using a GARCH model, we study the effects of Canadian and U.S. central bank communication and macroeconomic news on Canadian bond, stock, and foreign exchange market returns and volatility. First, central bank communication and macro news from both countries have an impact on Canadian financial markets. Second, Canadian central bank communication is more relevant than its U.S. counterpart, whereas in the case of macro news, that originating from the United States dominates. Third, we find evidence that the impact of Canadian news reaches its maximum when the Canadian target rate departs from the Federal Funds target rate (2002–2004) and thereafter. The introduction of fixed announcement dates (FAD) initially does not cause a noticeable break in the data. Finally, Canadian and U.S. target rate changes lead to higher price volatility, and so does other U.S. news. Other Canadian news, however, lowers price volatility.
Mô tả vật lý:29 Seiten
số ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2023.0222