Forecasting Market Diffusion of Innovative Battery-Electric and Conventional Vehicles in Germany under Model Uncertainty

Forecasting Market Diffusion of Innovative Battery-Electric and Conventional Vehicles in Germany under Model Uncertainty

In this research paper accuracies (percentage errors, MAPE) of different procedures (growth, ARIMA(X), exponential smoothing and deterministic trend models) in forecasting new passenger car registrations in Germany are presented. It is found that the Logistic Growth Model provides rather accurate pr...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 09-2022)
Autor principal: Gohs, Andreas Marcus
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:inglês
Publicado em: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2022
Assuntos:
Electric Vehicles
Bass Diffusion Model
Pooled Forecasting
Wirtschaft
Growth Curves
Model Uncertainty
Economics
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Área/Cota: urn:nbn:de:hebis:04-es2024-07189
Publikationsdatum: 2024-01-19
Downloads: 27 (2024)
Lizenz: https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0
Zugangs-URL: https://archiv.ub.uni-marburg.de/es/2024/0718
https://doi.org/10.17192/es2024.0718

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