Forecasting Market Diffusion of Innovative Battery-Electric and Conventional Vehicles in Germany under Model Uncertainty

In this research paper accuracies (percentage errors, MAPE) of different procedures (growth, ARIMA(X), exponential smoothing and deterministic trend models) in forecasting new passenger car registrations in Germany are presented. It is found that the Logistic Growth Model provides rather accurate pr...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben

Veröffentlicht in:	MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 09-2022)
1. Verfasser:	Gohs, Andreas Marcus
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch
Veröffentlicht:	2022
Schlagworte:	Pooled Forecasting Growth Curves Electric Vehicles Wirtschaft Model Uncertainty Bass Diffusion Model Economics
Online-Zugang:	PDF-Volltext
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