Financial Markets and ECB Monetary Policy Communication – A Second QE Surprise

This paper shows that a different communication style of the European Central Bank (ECB) affects stock prices differently. A break in the ECB’s communication from 2016 onwards makes it necessary to adjust the identification of monetary policy surprises in the euro area. By modifying the high-frequen...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics
Main Author: Baumgärtner, Martin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: 2022
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Online Access:PDF Full Text
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Summary:This paper shows that a different communication style of the European Central Bank (ECB) affects stock prices differently. A break in the ECB’s communication from 2016 onwards makes it necessary to adjust the identification of monetary policy surprises in the euro area. By modifying the high-frequency identification of monetary policy shocks in the euro area, I can show that two quantitative easing shocks occur per decision: One during the release and one during the press conference. Although the impact on policy rates is identical, the release window shock seems to have a more pronounced effect on stock prices.
Physical Description:15 Pages
ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2024.0712