Calculating Joint Confidence Bands for Impulse Response Functions using Highest Density Regions

This paper proposes a new non-parametric method of constructing joint confidence bands for impulse response functions of vector autoregressive models.The estimation uncertainty is captured by means of bootstrapping and the highest density region (HDR) approach is used to construct the bands. A Mont...

Cijeli opis

Spremljeno u:
Bibliografski detalji
Izdano u:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 16-2016)
Glavni autori: Lütkepohl, Helmut, Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna, Winker, Peter
Format: Članak
Jezik:engleski
Izdano: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2016
Teme:
Online pristup:PDF cijeli tekst
Oznake: Dodaj oznaku
Bez oznaka, Budi prvi tko označuje ovaj zapis!
Opis
Sažetak:This paper proposes a new non-parametric method of constructing joint confidence bands for impulse response functions of vector autoregressive models.The estimation uncertainty is captured by means of bootstrapping and the highest density region (HDR) approach is used to construct the bands. A Monte Carlo comparison of the HDR bands with existing alternatives shows that the former are competitive with the bootstrap-based Bonferroni and Wald confidence regions. The relative tightness of the HDR bands matched with their good coverage properties makes them attractive for applications. An application to corporate bond spreads for Germany highlights the potential for empirical work.
Opis fizičkog objekta:40 Seiten
ISSN:1867-3678
Digitalni identifikator objekta:10.17192/es2024.0508