The Marginal Propensity to Consume During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Thailand and Vietnam

In evaluating surveys conducted in Thailand and Vietnam during the COVID-19 pandemic, we find that the marginal propensity to consume is significantly larger for positive than for negative income shocks. This result contradicts a prediction from the lifecycle permanent income model with borrowing co...

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I whakaputaina i:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 07-2022)
Ngā kaituhi matua: Bui, Dzung, Dräger, Lena, Hayo, Bernd, Nghiem, Giang
Hōputu: Tuhinga
Reo:Ingarihi
I whakaputaina: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2022
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Whakaahuatanga
Whakarāpopototanga:In evaluating surveys conducted in Thailand and Vietnam during the COVID-19 pandemic, we find that the marginal propensity to consume is significantly larger for positive than for negative income shocks. This result contradicts a prediction from the lifecycle permanent income model with borrowing constraints as well as empirical evidence from industrialized countries. However, our finding is consistent with Kahneman and Tversky’s prospect theory, according to which the combination of income uncertainty and loss aversion can induce households to react more strongly to positive than to negative shocks.
Whakaahuatanga ōkiko:8 Seiten
ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2024.0716