Measuring Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations: The Effect of Guided vs Non-Guided Inflation Questions

An experiment using a representative survey of the German population shows that letting respondents report a number rather than asking them to choose from a list of predefined ranges lowers the response rate for both perceived past and expected inflation and decreases (increases) reported past (expe...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 27-2021)
Main Authors: Hayo, Bernd, Méon, Pierre-Guillaume
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2021
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Online Access:PDF Full Text
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Summary:An experiment using a representative survey of the German population shows that letting respondents report a number rather than asking them to choose from a list of predefined ranges lowers the response rate for both perceived past and expected inflation and decreases (increases) reported past (expected) inflation. Income, education, gender, objective and subjective knowledge about monetary policy, and political affiliation affect the effect’s size but not its sign. East and West German respondents who were 15 or older when the Berlin Wall fell have reactions different from those who were younger at that time, which supports the ‘impressionable years’ hypothesis based on different inflation experiences.
Physical Description:70 Pages
ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2024.0700