Information or Uncertainty Shocks?

This paper shows that uncertainty has an impact on the effectiveness of monetary policy shocks. As uncertainty increases, so does the risk that a restrictive forward guidance shock will increase rather than decrease stock prices. This effect can be seen not only in high-frequency variables, but a...

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Bibliografski detalji
Izdano u:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 41-2020)
Glavni autor: Baumgärtner, Martin
Format: Članak
Jezik:engleski
Izdano: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2020
Teme:
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Opis
Sažetak:This paper shows that uncertainty has an impact on the effectiveness of monetary policy shocks. As uncertainty increases, so does the risk that a restrictive forward guidance shock will increase rather than decrease stock prices. This effect can be seen not only in high-frequency variables, but also in VAR models with external instruments. The results suggest that uncertainty is an alternative approach to explain the phenomena previously known as "information shock" and should therefore receive more attention in monetary policy measures.
Opis fizičkog objekta:38 Seiten
ISSN:1867-3678
Digitalni identifikator objekta:10.17192/es2024.0668