The Opportunity Cost of the Islamic Revolution and War for Iran

We estimate the opportunity cost for Iran due to the Islamic revolution and eight years’ war with Iraq (1978/79-1988). We apply the synthetic control method in order to compare Iran with a synthetic Iran and answer this counterfactual question. Our results show that, in total, an average Iranian has...

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Yayımlandı:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 29-2019)
Yazar: Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza
Materyal Türü: Makale
Dil:İngilizce
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2019
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Özet:We estimate the opportunity cost for Iran due to the Islamic revolution and eight years’ war with Iraq (1978/79-1988). We apply the synthetic control method in order to compare Iran with a synthetic Iran and answer this counterfactual question. Our results show that, in total, an average Iranian has lost $34,660 (in constant 2010 US$) from 1978 to 1988. This loss is equivalent to 40% of income per capita, which an Iranian could reach at the absence of revolution and war.
Fiziksel Özellikler:18 Seiten
ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2024.0624