Titel:Communication Matters: U.S. Monetary Policy and Commodity Price Volatility
Autor:Hayo, Bernd
Weitere Verfasser:Kutan, Ali M.; Neuenkirch, Matthias
Veröffentlicht:2011
URI:https://archiv.ub.uni-marburg.de/es/2024/0071
URN: urn:nbn:de:hebis:04-es2024-00710
DOI: https://doi.org/10.17192/es2024.0071
ISSN: 1867-3678
DDC:330 Wirtschaft
Publikationsdatum:2024-01-02
Lizenz:https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0

Dokument

Schlagwörter:
Monetary Policy, Price Volatility, Central Bank Communication, Commodities, Federal Reserve Bank

Summary:
Using a GARCH model, we analyze the influence of U.S. monetary policy action and communication on the price volatility of commodities for the period 1998–2009. We find, first, that U.S. monetary policy events have an economically significant impact on price volatility. Second, expected target rate changes and communications decrease volatility, whereas target rate surprises and unorthodox monetary policy measures increase it. Third, we find a change in reaction to central bank communication during the recent financial crisis: the “calming” effect of communication found for the whole sample is partly offset during that period.


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