Housing Market Convergence: Evidence from Germany

This paper analyses the convergence pattern of German housing prices and rents, employing a new dataset covering the country’s administrative districts. In addition to conventional tests for ?-convergence and ?-convergence, we apply Phillips and Sul’s (2007) approach to allow for the various heterog...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 44-2022)
Main Authors: Unal, Umut, Hayo, Bernd, Erol, Isil
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2022
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Online Access:PDF Full Text
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Summary:This paper analyses the convergence pattern of German housing prices and rents, employing a new dataset covering the country’s administrative districts. In addition to conventional tests for ?-convergence and ?-convergence, we apply Phillips and Sul’s (2007) approach to allow for the various heterogeneity and transitional dynamics across districts. Our results reveal no evidence of convergence across Germany or within states; instead, we discover widespread evidence of divergence and inter-state convergence, as well as support for the existence of convergence clubs. At the federal level, we identify club numbers ranging from 11 (for existing flat prices) to five (for new flat rents). At the state level, the estimated number of clubs is generally lower, ranging from zero to six.
Physical Description:18 Pages
ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2024.0751