Dokument
| Titel: | Evidence for the “Suicide by Firearm” Proxy for Gun Ownership from Austria |
| Autor: | Westphal, Christian |
| Veröffentlicht: | 2013 |
| URI: | https://archiv.ub.uni-marburg.de/es/2024/0195 |
| DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17192/es2024.0195 |
| ISSN: | 1867-3678 |
| DDC: | 330 Wirtschaft |
| Publikationsdatum: | 2024-01-03 |
| Lizenz: | https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0 |
| Schlagwörter: |
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| Gun Ownership, Ratio Fallacy, Suicide, Spurious Correlation |
Summary:
When attempting to measure gun ownership in the United States, the
problem of missing administrative data arises, making it necessary to find a
valid proxy. Several such proxies are employed in economic studies, one of
which is the fraction of “suicides by firearm” of “all suicides” (FSS). My work
validates this proxy from out-of-sample data, namely, Austrian administrative
data on firearm licenses. I also reevaluate, with appropriate statistical
methods, a result on firearms and suicide from the medical that is often used
for public policy advocacy. This result is, unfortunately, heavily biased due
to ignoring a well-known fallacy and thus can be only partially confirmed.
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