Titel:The Impact of Foreign Macroeconomic News on Financial Markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland
Autor:Büttner, David
Weitere Verfasser:Hayo, Bernd; Neuenkirch, Matthias
Veröffentlicht:2009
URI:https://archiv.ub.uni-marburg.de/es/2023/0217
DOI: https://doi.org/10.17192/es2023.0217
ISSN: 1867-3678
DDC:330 Wirtschaft
Publikationsdatum:2023-12-21
Lizenz:https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0

Dokument

Schlagwörter:
Hungary, Macroeconomic News, Czech Republic, Financial Markets, Poland, European Monetary Union

Summary:
In this paper, we investigate the effects of euro area and US macroeconomic news on financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland (CEEC-3) from 1999 to 2006. Using a GARCH model, we examine the impact of news on daily returns of three-month interest rates, stock market indices, exchange rates versus the euro, and the US dollar. First, both US and European macroeconomic news has a significant impact on CEEC-3 financial markets. Second, the process of European integration is accompanied by an increasing importance of euro area news relative to US news. Third, there are country-specific differences: for example, the Czech stock market is relatively more affected by foreign news since the Copenhagen Summit in December 2002. In general, our results support the hypothesis of a deepening euro area influence on the CEEC-3 over time and a corresponding reduction in the relative importance of US shocks.


* Das Dokument ist im Internet frei zugänglich - Hinweise zu den Nutzungsrechten