Forecasting Market Diffusion of Innovative Battery-Electric and Conventional Vehicles in Germany under Model Uncertainty

Forecasting Market Diffusion of Innovative Battery-Electric and Conventional Vehicles in Germany under Model Uncertainty

In this research paper accuracies (percentage errors, MAPE) of different procedures (growth, ARIMA(X), exponential smoothing and deterministic trend models) in forecasting new passenger car registrations in Germany are presented. It is found that the Logistic Growth Model provides rather accurate pr...

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Veröffentlicht in:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 09-2022)
1. Verfasser: Gohs, Andreas Marcus
Format: Artikel
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2022
Schlagworte:
Electric Vehicles
Bass Diffusion Model
Pooled Forecasting
Wirtschaft
Growth Curves
Model Uncertainty
Economics
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MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics

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