Publikationsserver
Experimental Evidence on Forecaster (anti-) Herding in Sports Markets
We experimentally analyzed whether (anti-)herding behavior of forecasters in sport-betting markets is influenced by the incentive structure of the market (winner-takes-all vs. equal payment of most accurate forecasts) and by personal traits of forecasters. We found evidence of anti-herding in foreca...
Sábháilte in:
| Foilsithe in: | MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 38-2020) |
|---|---|
| Príomhchruthaitheoirí: | , , |
| Formáid: | Alt |
| Teanga: | Béarla |
| Foilsithe / Cruthaithe: |
Philipps-Universität Marburg
2020
|
| Ábhair: | |
| Rochtain ar líne: | An téacs iomlán mar PDF |
| Clibeanna: |
Cuir clib leis
Níl clibeanna ann, Bí ar an gcéad duine le clib a chur leis an taifead seo!
|
| Achoimre: | We experimentally analyzed whether (anti-)herding behavior of forecasters in sport-betting markets is influenced by the incentive structure of the market (winner-takes-all vs. equal payment of most accurate forecasts) and by personal traits of forecasters. We found evidence of anti-herding in forecasts of the German Bundesliga. Self-reported knowledge and, more surprisingly, winner-takes-all incentives reduced anti-herding. On average, forecasts were less accurate with stronger anti-herding. Winner-takes-all incentives and self-reported knowledge improved forecasts. |
|---|---|
| Cur síos fisiciúil: | 29 Seiten |
| ISSN: | 1867-3678 |
| DOI: | 10.17192/es2024.0664 |