Forward Guidance Under the Cost Channel

A common finding in the literature is that forward guidance cannot be credible under discretionary policy as long as the zero lower bound is an one-off event. However, this is not the case when recurring episodes of zero interest rates are possible. In this paper, we contribute to this new result...

Popoln opis

Shranjeno v:
Bibliografske podrobnosti
izdano v:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 04-2020)
Glavni avtor: Finck, David
Format: Artikel
Jezik:angleščina
Izdano: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2020
Teme:
Online dostop:PDF-Volltext
Oznake: Označite
Brez oznak, prvi označite!
Opis
Izvleček:A common finding in the literature is that forward guidance cannot be credible under discretionary policy as long as the zero lower bound is an one-off event. However, this is not the case when recurring episodes of zero interest rates are possible. In this paper, we contribute to this new result and assess the sustainability of forward guidance under the cost channel. We find that forward guidance can be sustainable under the cost channel. However, we show that it is less credible compared to a standard New Keynesian model. Our results show that this finding also depends on the strength of the cost channel. Furthermore, provide evidence that ignoring the presence of a cost channel can be costly in terms of steady-state consumption.
Fizični opis:40 Seiten
ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2024.0631