Are Eastern European Taylor Reaction Functions Asymmetric in Inflation or Output: Empirical Evidence for four Countries

Do central banks in Eastern European countries react asymmetrically and in a non-linear fashion to changes in inflation and output? We tackle this question by expanding the standard Taylor reaction function for the four inflation targeting countries Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Ro- mania....

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Publicado no:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 08-2018)
Autor principal: Klose, Jens
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:inglês
Publicado em: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2018
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Descrição
Resumo:Do central banks in Eastern European countries react asymmetrically and in a non-linear fashion to changes in inflation and output? We tackle this question by expanding the standard Taylor reaction function for the four inflation targeting countries Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Ro- mania. We do so taking explicitly inflation rates below or above target and output below or above potential, the so-called state of the economy, into account. The results reveal that there are indeed substantial asymmetries in the reaction function of the Czech, Polish and Romanian central bank, which are only evident when the combination of inflation and output thresholds is explicitly modelled in one estimation equation. For these three central banks also non-linearities in the inflation and output response could be verified.
Descrição Física:37 Seiten
ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2024.0561