Remittance Inflows and State-Dependent Monetary Policy Transmission in Developing Countries

Remittance inflows from overseas workers are an important source of for- eign funding for developing and emerging economies. The literature is in- conclusive about the cyclical nature of remittance inflows. To the extent remittances are procyclical they pose a challenge to monetary policy: a tight...

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Opis bibliograficzny
Wydane w:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 38-2016)
Główni autorzy: Machasio, Immaculate, Tillmann, Peter
Format: Artykuł
Język:angielski
Wydane: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2016
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Opis
Streszczenie:Remittance inflows from overseas workers are an important source of for- eign funding for developing and emerging economies. The literature is in- conclusive about the cyclical nature of remittance inflows. To the extent remittances are procyclical they pose a challenge to monetary policy: a tightening of policy will be less effective if at the same time remittances increase strongly. The same is true for a policy easing under exceptionally weak remittance inflows. This paper estimates a series of nonlinear (smooth-transition) local projections to study the effectiveness of monetary policy under different remittance inflows regimes. The model is able to provide state-dependent impulse response functions. We show that for Kenya, Mexico, Colombia and the Philippines monetary policy indeed has a smaller domestic effect under strong inflows of remittances. These results have important implications for the design of inflation targeting in developing countries.
Opis fizyczny:34 Seiten
ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2024.0524