Regional Effects of Federal Tax Shocks

Regional Effects of Federal Tax Shocks

This paper studies regional output asymmetries following U.S. federal tax shocks. We estimate a vector autoregressive model for each U.S. state, utilizing the exogenous tax shock series recently proposed by Romer and Romer (2010) and find considerable variations: estimated output multipliers lie bet...

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Pubblicato in:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 17-2012)
Autori principali: Hayo, Bernd, Uhl, Matthias
Natura: Arbeit
Lingua:inglese
Pubblicazione: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2012
Soggetti:
Fiscal Policy ∙ Tax Policy ∙ Narrative Approach ∙ U.S. States ∙ Regional Effects ∙ Asymmetries in Fiscal Policy Transmission
Wirtschaft
Economics
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Riassunto:This paper studies regional output asymmetries following U.S. federal tax shocks. We estimate a vector autoregressive model for each U.S. state, utilizing the exogenous tax shock series recently proposed by Romer and Romer (2010) and find considerable variations: estimated output multipliers lie between –0.2 in Utah and –3.3 in Hawaii. Statistically, the difference between state and national output effect is significant in about half the U.S. states. Analyzing the determinants of differences in the magnitude of regional tax multipliers suggests that industry composition of output and sociodemographic characteristics help explain the observed asymmetry across U.S. states in the transmission of federal tax policy.
ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2024.0131

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