The Heterogeneity of Default Costs: Evidence from Recent Sovereign Debt Crises

This paper examines the costs of recent sovereign defaults using synthetic control methods, a novel econometric technique based on comparative case studies. Evidence on the effects of debt crises is thus presented on a case-by-case basis, uncovering large variations in country-specific experiences...

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Foilsithe in:MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 51-2011)
Príomhchruthaitheoir: Jorra, Markus
Formáid: Arbeit
Teanga:Béarla
Foilsithe / Cruthaithe: Philipps-Universität Marburg 2011
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Achoimre:This paper examines the costs of recent sovereign defaults using synthetic control methods, a novel econometric technique based on comparative case studies. Evidence on the effects of debt crises is thus presented on a case-by-case basis, uncovering large variations in country-specific experiences. Our estimates of cumulated output losses, e.g., range between 8.5% and 23% depending on the considered default episode. Further differences concern the persistence and likely causes of these costs. In particular, our results are consistent with the selective use of direct trade sanctions as punishment for sovereign defaults.
Cur síos fisiciúil:42 Seiten
ISSN:1867-3678
DOI:10.17192/es2024.0115