Publikationsserver
Canadian Interest Rate Setting: The Information Content of Canadian and U.S. Central Bank Communication
We explain Canadian target rate decisions using macroeconomic variables as well as Bank of Canada (BOC) and Federal Reserve (Fed) communication indicators. Econometrically, we employ an ordered probit model of a Taylor rule to explain and predict 60 target rate decisions between 1998 and 2006. We fi...
সংরক্ষণ করুন:
| প্রকাশিত: | MAGKS - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (Band 35-2009) |
|---|---|
| প্রধান লেখক: | , |
| বিন্যাস: | প্রবন্ধ |
| ভাষা: | ইংরেজি |
| প্রকাশিত: |
Philipps-Universität Marburg
2009
|
| বিষয়গুলি: | |
| অনলাইন ব্যবহার করুন: | পিডিএফ এ সম্পূর্ন পাঠ |
| ট্যাগগুলো: |
ট্যাগ যুক্ত করুন
কোনো ট্যাগ নেই, প্রথমজন হিসাবে ট্যাগ করুন!
|
| সংক্ষিপ্ত: | We explain Canadian target rate decisions using macroeconomic variables as well as Bank of Canada (BOC) and Federal Reserve (Fed) communication indicators. Econometrically, we employ an ordered probit model of a Taylor rule to explain and predict 60 target rate decisions between 1998 and 2006. We find that communications, and most especially speeches and testimony by Canadian Governing Council members, provide a significant and robust explanation of Canadian target rate decisions. However, prior to the introduction of fixed announcement dates, Canadian communications contained more information on upcoming policy moves. Finally, communications by the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank—which are much more frequent—outperform our Canadian communication indicators in explaining Canadian interest rate decisions. |
|---|---|
| দৈহিক বর্ননা: | 25 Seiten |
| আইএসএসএন: | 1867-3678 |
| ডিওআই: | 10.17192/es2024.0016 |